Global oil prices slipped on Monday after the United States decided against imposing new restrictions on Russian crude exports, easing market fears of an immediate supply shock. The development came just days after U.S. President Donald Trump met Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska, where the two leaders discussed pathways toward a peace settlement in Ukraine.
In early Asian trade, Brent crude futures fell 26 cents, or 0.39%, to $65.59 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) declined 18 cents, or 0.29%, to $62.62 per barrel.
Trump-Putin Meeting and Peace Talks
During his meeting with President Putin, Trump signaled his preference for pursuing a comprehensive peace agreement rather than pushing for an immediate ceasefire—an approach broadly aligned with Moscow’s stance. The U.S. president is expected to meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and European leaders later on Monday to accelerate discussions for what he described as a “swift peace deal” to end Europe’s bloodiest conflict in decades.
Trump also said he was not currently considering retaliatory tariffs on nations such as China—Russia’s largest oil customer—for continuing to buy Russian crude. However, he hinted that such measures could be revisited in “two or three weeks” if peace efforts fail to progress.
Market Reactions and Strategic Caution
Analysts highlighted that Washington’s decision reflects a cautious strategy, particularly toward China and India, the two largest buyers of Russian oil. “Markets were focused on the potential for secondary sanctions against Russia’s biggest energy customers. By signaling a pause, particularly with respect to China, President Trump has maintained the status quo for now,” said Helima Croft, strategist at RBC Capital.
Despite diplomatic efforts, Moscow remains unwilling to give up its territorial claims, while Kyiv and European capitals continue to resist any land-for-peace proposals.
Fed Policy in Focus
Beyond geopolitics, investors are also awaiting signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve. Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium later this week, with markets hoping for clarity on the timing of potential interest rate cuts.
“It’s likely Powell will remain cautious and stress a data-driven approach, especially with another round of payroll and inflation data due before the Fed’s September 17 policy meeting,” noted Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG.
Lower interest rates could stimulate further stock market rallies while also affecting global energy demand forecasts.